Join BookitisSave favorites, build lists, and follow creators.

Precautionary demand for foreign assets in sudden stop economies

Work detail

Bookitis Pick
Precautionary demand for foreign assets in sudden stop economies
PD
Marco TerronesCeyhun Bora DurduEnrique G. Mendoza7 editions

"Financial globalization was off to a rocky start in emerging economies hit by Sudden Stops since the mid 1990s. Foreign reserves grew very rapidly during this period, and hence it is often argued that we live in the era of a New Merchantilism in which large stocks of reserves are a war-chest for defense against Sudden Stops. We conduct a quantitative assessment of this argument using a stochastic intertemporal equilibrium framework with incomplete asset markets in which precautionary saving affects foreign assets via three mechanisms: business cycle volatility, financial globalization, and Sudden Stop risk. In this framework, Sudden Stops are an equilibrium outcome produced by an endogenous credit constraint that triggers Irving Fisher's debt-deflation mechanism. Our results show that financial globalization and Sudden Stop risk are plausible explanations of the observed surge in reserves but business cycle volatility is not. In fact, business cycle volatility has declined in the post-globalization period. These results hold whether we use the formulation of intertemporal preferences of the Bewley-Aiyagari-Hugget class of precautionary savings models or the Uzawa-Epstein setup with endogenous time preference"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Overview

Shared work-level identity and catalog context.

3 credited authorsSearch language english

Bookitis keeps work pages focused on the shared book identity and the editions that actually belong to it. Unrelated books should not appear here as primary content.

Contributors

People credited with this work in the active catalog.

  • Marco Terrones

    Author profile in the active Bookitis catalog

    Open Author
  • Ceyhun Bora Durdu

    Author profile in the active Bookitis catalog

    Open Author
  • Enrique G. Mendoza

    Author profile in the active Bookitis catalog

    Open Author

Editions

Publication-specific versions linked to this work only.