"Researchers in a growing number of fields - public policy, law, business, medicine, psychology, engineering, and others - are working to understand and improve human judgment and decision making. This book, which presupposes no formal training, brings together a selection of key articles in the area, with careful organization, introductions, and commentaries. Issues include medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labor negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitness testimony, and more." "This is a revised edition of the 1986 collection of papers, Judgment and Decision Making, edited by Hal Arkes and Ken Hammond. The focus of this updated and extended volume is interdisciplinary and applied. The papers selected are scientific in nature, but chosen to appeal to the scholar, student, and layperson alike."--Jacket.