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Medium term business cycles in developing countries

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Medium term business cycles in developing countries
MT
Farroq PashaDiego CominNorman LoayzaLuis Serven2 editions

We build a two country asymmetric DSGE model with two features: (i) a product cycle structure determines the range of intermediate goods used to produce new capital in each country and (ii) there are investment flow adjustment costs in the developing economy. We calibrate the model to match the Mexico-US trade and FDI flows. The model is able to explain (i) why US shocks have a larger effect on Mexico than in the US and hence why the Mexican economy is more volatile than the US; (ii) why US business cycles lead over medium term fluctuations in Mexico and (iii) why Mexican consumption is not less volatile than output.

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4 credited authorsSearch language english

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  • Farroq Pasha

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  • Diego Comin

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  • Norman Loayza

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  • Luis Serven

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